Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Sebastian

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 9 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 12 May 2026 at 02:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 27 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 11 at 9:30PM EDT until May 11 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL

An estimated 330,543 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 10 May 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates27.8354, -80.2031
Nearest CitySebastian (26 km)
Population Exposed330.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-12T01:30:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fb0df787133b746ed3763d318858eb86

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescSebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 11 at 9:30PM EDT until May 11 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Expires2026-05-11T22:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Melbourne FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fb0df787133b746ed3763d318858eb865a092337.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aed92111f4b2bb9cc521e014bd5cc6341b0615dd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.20d564dd6ed9af49212623792da9168f78c81d5e.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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